Why Di-Worsify Into Commodities?

Di-worsification is what you do when you invest in mediocre assets for a mediocre reason – for example, because a statistical model has told you they reduce risk. Thanks to the boom in commodities over the past decade, they have become a favoured choice for di-worsifying institutions everywhere. The profusion of ETFs, funds, indices, and brokerage coverage has made them unprecedentedly easy to access for individuals too. However the long-term performance of commodities is pathetic, and there is little reason to believe that “this time is different.”

By Peter Tasker |
Articles Finance

I Am A Digital Cat – A Story Of The Future

I am a digital cat. I was designed in Mumbai and manufactured in Shenzhen. Where I live digital cats outnumber children. That’s because they are much cheaper. If you cannot afford the latest version, you can buy a second hand product at a shop called CATOFF.

By Peter Tasker |
Articles Culture

Japan’s Mythical Debt Crisis

How did the people who sighted the first black swan respond to the shock? After the collapse of the assumption that all swans were white, did they then conclude that swans could be any colour – red, green, or blue?

By Peter Tasker |
Articles Finance

Sayonara Toyota?

cons of competitive excellence are supposed to be immune from the failings of ordinary mortals. That was why the fall from grace of Tiger Woods was so disorienting. The evaporation of Toyota’s reputation for superhuman quality is even more shocking. After the eight million vehicle recall, it feels as if something comforting and hopeful has disappeared from the world for ever.

By Peter Tasker |
Articles Business

How Japan Can Get Its Mojo Back

You are a little-known politician who has enthused the public with promises of change. You win a thumping electoral victory. You succeed a tired and discredited administration whose policies helped create the worst economic crisis in decades. And then your problems start.

By Peter Tasker |
Articles Politics

Hatoyama’s To-Do List

You are a little-known politician who has stirred the public with promises of change. You win a thumping elec-toral victory. You succeed a tired and discredited administration whose policies helped create the worst economic crisis in decades. And then your problems start: The vested interests won’t give an inch. People seem unsure of what kind of change they want, or if they want any at all. The economy is still in bad shape, and now you are getting the blame.

By Peter Tasker |
Articles Politics

China rushes towards a Japan-style bubble

Emerging markets, it seems, have had a good crisis. In contrast to the debt-ridden G7 economies, they have quickly resumed their growth trajectory. No surprise, then, that US emerging market mutual funds are experiencing record inflows. The stellar performance of the Brics markets – Brazil, Russia, Indian and China – is due to continue into the distant future.

By Peter Tasker |
Articles Culture Finance

A French Kiss from Japan

There’s more to Japan’s new first couple than meet the eye. The prime minister’s wife, Miyuki Hatoyama, claims to have befriended Tom Cruise in a previous life when he was, apparently, Japanese. Meanwhile the prime minister himself has been behaving like the re-incarnation of a French intellectual.

By Peter Tasker |
Articles Culture

Can Japan Get Its Mojo Back?

Remember the fable of the hard-working ant and the irresponsible fun-loving grasshopper? As generations of parents tell their children, both creatures get what they deserve. The grasshopper pays a terrible price for his summer of fun, while the ant survives the winter snug and smug.

By Peter Tasker |
Articles Finance

The economics of folly

Twelve months on from the collapse of Lehman Brothers and much about the event remains mysterious. It was the trigger that caused a deep recession, which began in the US but steadily crept across Europe and Asia, morphing into a global catastrophe worthy of a potboiler novel.

By Peter Tasker |
Articles Finance