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The Greeks have got a lot to answer for. As well as roiling the markets and torpedoing the euro, they have inflicted serious damage on the debate about the global crisis and its remedies.
The Greeks have got a lot to answer for. As well as roiling the markets and torpedoing the euro, they have inflicted serious damage on the debate about the global crisis and its remedies.
Imagine you are starring in the financial equivalent of the “Life On Mars” TV show. You wake up one morning to find you have time-travelled back to the early nineteen nineties. The Berlin Wall has just fallen. The triumph of capitalism is unleashing a tsunami of globalization as billions of people join the market economy as workers and consumers.
I am a digital cat. I was designed in Mumbai and manufactured in Shenzhen. Where I live digital cats outnumber children. That’s because they are much cheaper. If you cannot afford the latest version, you can buy a second hand product at a shop called CATOFF.
How did the people who sighted the first black swan respond to the shock? After the collapse of the assumption that all swans were white, did they then conclude that swans could be any colour – red, green, or blue?
cons of competitive excellence are supposed to be immune from the failings of ordinary mortals. That was why the fall from grace of Tiger Woods was so disorienting. The evaporation of Toyota’s reputation for superhuman quality is even more shocking. After the eight million vehicle recall, it feels as if something comforting and hopeful has disappeared from the world for ever.
You are a little-known politician who has enthused the public with promises of change. You win a thumping electoral victory. You succeed a tired and discredited administration whose policies helped create the worst economic crisis in decades. And then your problems start.
You are a little-known politician who has stirred the public with promises of change. You win a thumping elec-toral victory. You succeed a tired and discredited administration whose policies helped create the worst economic crisis in decades. And then your problems start: The vested interests won’t give an inch. People seem unsure of what kind of change they want, or if they want any at all. The economy is still in bad shape, and now you are getting the blame.
Emerging markets, it seems, have had a good crisis. In contrast to the debt-ridden G7 economies, they have quickly resumed their growth trajectory. No surprise, then, that US emerging market mutual funds are experiencing record inflows. The stellar performance of the Brics markets – Brazil, Russia, Indian and China – is due to continue into the distant future.
Remember the fable of the hard-working ant and the irresponsible fun-loving grasshopper? As generations of parents tell their children, both creatures get what they deserve. The grasshopper pays a terrible price for his summer of fun, while the ant survives the winter snug and smug.
It’s déjà vu all over again. That’s what the rip-roaring bull market in Chinese stocks looks like to anyone who lived through the late 1980s Japanese bubble.